To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behavior or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Unlock with Patreon
This is a teal seat that hasn’t been talked about much. It’s the only teal vs Liberal rematch. Out of all the Liberals who lost to teals in 2022, Tim Wilson appeared as the most likely to run again. Dave Sharma is now a senator. The rest have moved on.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Zoe Daniel retains.
I live in the seat. There is a very very active campaign being run by the Liberals. Lots of conflates and visibility.
Apparently, there was a poll here that said the Liberals would retain. I can see this happening
Did you mean a Liberal gain or a Daniel retain? I’m assuming the former.
Which poll specifically? I don’t think there’s been a publicly released poll available. There’s an article or two quoting “political operatives” who supposedly have seen threatening polls for independents. Without actual numbers/sources it might as well be thin air. https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2024/08/03/teals-risk-goldstein-kooyong-mackellar-and-curtin
The times I’ve been in Goldstein over the past 6 months or so, I’ve seen Zoe Daniels volunteers every time. They seem to have been on the ground early & often. That said it has mostly been around the Bentleigh or Moorabbin areas, not the Liberal heartland.
Her supporters might be there to make her known in the newly-added parts of Goldstein or attract major party voters looking to swing away.
Nick
There was a poll a few months back that suggested Zoe Daniel was in trouble. From afar, hard to see her losing – at least in 2025. To my mind, much more secure than Monique Ryan. Both could be collateral damage if the Jewish communities in both seats go full Liberal.
i think the libs are a chance here and in kooyong. its certainly low hanging fruit and the swing is gonna on against labor and towards the libs in vic. some of those liberal abd labor voters who vote teal are gonna switch back
Why will Labor voters not preference the teal?same for greens!
Tim Wilson has terrible pr.. partly because his seat always elected a liberal in past times.
they may switch their vote to the liberal on the primary. maybe not the greens but labor and teal voters could switch to the libs
Cannot say what teal or ex liberal voters will do.
But why on earth would left of centre voters vote liberal?
@mick some people change between liberal and labor. they are centrist or swing voters who change their vote
tahts how seats change hands